Friday, June 25, 2010

The Logical Fallacy that UFO fantasists just Love

I am writing here about the "Cum Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc" fallacy which means "with this, because of this."
The fallacy consists in jumping to a conclusion based on a correlation between two events which occur simultaneously. Both events have nothing in common, but the fallacious establishes that the first event is the cause of the second one.
We can see this fallacy at work day after day.
Events C and E both happened at the same time, therefore, C caused E.

I should say that the mythologists are forced to use this fallacy, because it is the only way of writing something about UFO, disclosure, cover-up.
In the worst cases, the fantasist appeals to some "anonymous source" to force a relation between events C and E.

Besides, this fallacy keeps the fans interested in the UFO mythology, but NOT in the real UFO phenomenon investigation.
Of course the conspiracy theorists are experts in finding relations between different events, and the same thing happens to paranoids.
Remember always this: Absurd is the most effective weapon of disinformation.
In Area 51, they WANT you to believe that there is a flying saucer and a captured alien. Why? Because if you believe this, you will never ask about what is really going on there.

Tomas Scolarici

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